Eric Green's Breakfast Blog

Almost There…

egreenwlwt — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 04:07:08 +0000

Well we are almost there…one more round of snow and cold to suffer through, then a big-time warm up is going to kick in. We will have to suffer through another cold night and hard start to the car, but the snow should hold off until after the morning commute in to work. Right around noon is when the flakes should start to fly, and snow will pick up in intensity during the afternoon and last into the evening with up to an inch of accumulation possible by the time we are all trying to get home from work. This will be more of a nuisance snow than a snow storm with the timing being the bigger problem than the actual snow. Snow showers and flurries should slowly wind down Monday night and into Tuesday morning, and that’s when our warm up should kick in. Tuesday afternoon when the sun tries to break through the clouds we have a chance at hitting 32 degrees, and we are only headed up from there. Wednesday should bring lots of sunshine, and the snow should start to melt in a hurry with highs headed for the upper 30s, and Thursday and Friday bring a chance at hitting the lower 40s. One thing we will have to watch for is thick fog developing on Thursday and Friday morning with all the snowmelt that is expected. The long-range models are no longer hinting at that back door cold front moving in Thursday night so we no longer need to worry about a chance for rain or light freezing rain into Friday morning. The weekend is still going to produce a big storm tracking along the southeastern U.S., but there is some uncertainty with how this will affect the Ohio Valley. As of right now, we’ll mention a chance for a wintry mix on Saturday, and then a chance for snow on Sunday. It should not be anything too heavy, and it looks like it will be just barely cold enough for snow too, so if anything accumulates it would be more of a slushy, sloppy snow with limited travel-related problems. We’ll keep an eye on it…stay tuned!

Snow Finally Ending

egreenwlwt — Sat, 09 Jan 2010 23:45:43 +0000

We are watching that light snow slowly come to an end overnight, the northwesterly winds are turning west and that cold wind off the Great Lakes is shutting off. As we clear out tonight some single digit lows will be possible into Sunday morning, so the cold sadly is not going to quit for a couple more days. Sunday will at least bring a little more sunshine, but snowmelt will be kept to a minimum with highs only in the mid 20s. Clouds will build once again into Monday morning with another weather system approaching. This will be a typical clipper quickly moving through Monday afternoon with limited moisture, but it looks like a brief period of heavy snow Monday afternoon could result in a quick inch of accumulation. Flurries and light snow showers could continue into Tuesday morning, and then that should be it for winter’s grip for a while. A Pattern change in the atmosphere from northwesterly flow to a more west to east flow will bring warmer air to the entire country, and a return to above freezing temperatures! The second half of the week looks pretty quiet, we will have to monitor a cold front backing into the Ohio Valley Thursday night trying to bring a chance for light rain late Thursday, and then possible a wintry mix or light freezing rain into Friday morning. Precipitation chances will be low through all this however so it is not something we are too concerned with at this point. Into the upcoming weekend, the long-range models have been suggesting a big storm system firing up in Texas and then marching across the southern Gulf Coast states. We will probably on the northern fringe of this one receiving a cold rain on Sunday and into Monday. Stay tuned!

Still Snowing…

egreenwlwt — Sat, 09 Jan 2010 12:20:52 +0000

The transformation to winter wonderland is nearly complete now; a thick blanket of snow and a lot of cold have a firm grip on the Tri-state. Flurries and light snow showers will continue on and off through the day with little or no additional accumulation. Temperatures are going to hold right around 20 through the day with enough wind to make it feel like 10, so if you plan on heading out to the Bengals game dress in layers and hats and gloves are necessary. The light snow should finally wind down tonight, and brighter skies will be seen on Sunday…but it will not warm up much. Things could get interesting on Monday with another clipper forecast to move in, some snow accumulation will be possible Monday and Monday night, but it doesn’t look like anything more than an inch with most spots probably seeing less than that. Flakes with this clipper end on Tuesday, and then a pattern change in the atmosphere that will lead to a big-time warm up should kick in, temperatures in the 30-40 degree range are expected for the second half of the week with mainly dry skies and a lot of sunshine – so the snow it really going to start to melt! One thing we will have to watch for late in the week is a back door cold front trying to move through late on Thursday, that could result in some light rain late in the day and into the first part of Friday…temperatures could drop below freezing on Friday morning so potentially this could be a light freezing rain event. This is only a very small chance for precipitation at this point and is not something we are too concerned with at this point, so I wouldn’t worry about it and just know we will keep an eye on it and keep you posted. Stay tuned!

Cold Enough For Ya???

egreenwlwt — Sun, 03 Jan 2010 22:52:53 +0000

This will go down as one painfully cold weekend with temperatures about 15-20 degrees below average during what is typically about the coldest time of year. After a refreshing blast of sunshine during the day, we expect clouds to roll back in overnight and bring another round of light snow into the daybreak hours of Monday. At least with the increasing cloud cover tonight temperatures will not get nearly as cold as they were last night. Monday and Tuesday will be mainly cloudy days with on and off flurries and light snow showers, accumulations will be limited to a glorified dusting which in our world is about a half inch…the best chance to maybe pick up an inch of fluffy snow accumulation will be on Monday night – and we’ll be watching for that. Skies should be snow free on Wednesday with a little sunshine showing too, but by Thursday a stronger storm system is forecast to move in bringing the best chance for snow accumulation in the week ahead. It’s tough to put a number on how much snow we could see because when it is this cold the snow really fluffs up and it does not take a lot of water to result in a few inch snowfall…so at this point we will say that three inches is definitely possible, and at the same time it could be a little more or a little less. There will be another shot of very cold air moving in behind the Thursday storm, and with the cold winds blowing off the Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley, we’ll need to keep the flurries and light snow showers in the forecast at least for Friday and Saturday. It will still be quite cold on Sunday and Monday, but the long-range is hinting at a big of a warm up midweek along with another weather system by Tuesday or Wednesday. Stay warm and stay tuned!

Dreaming Of A Brown Christmas???

egreenwlwt — Wed, 23 Dec 2009 21:48:34 +0000

Once again we caught a few rays of sunshine during the afternoon…that just makes the day so much better, and it did drive the temperature up into the lower 40s. There is an area of scattered showers to the southwest lifting up towards the Tri-state, and we could see a few showers this evening and overnight. As temperatures cool off to freezing or just below, we cannot rule out areas of light freezing rain – mainly west of the metro late tonight and during the morning hours of Thursday. Otherwise it still looks mainly cloudy with chances for rain showers through the day with continued mild temperatures. Rain will become likely Thursday night as Santa takes to his sleigh; heavy downpours could add up to an inch in the rain gauge as we head in Christmas morning with winds starting to howl too. Christmas day will be quite an interesting day of weather, heavy rains will pull out early, and then we will see breezy and mild conditions into early afternoon with a chance for rain showers, and then temperatures will drop off quickly late in the day with rain mixing with and eventually changing over to snow after nightfall. Things will settle down some into the weekend, but temperatures will continue to fall and the winds will still probably be blowing. Flurries and light snow showers will fall on both Saturday and Sunday with accumulations limited to about an inch or so, but for most spots it will just be the ground coaters that we have quickly become familiar with. Light snow should wind down next week on Monday, and even though we expect to stay dry Tuesday and Wednesday it will probably stay cold with highs stuck in the 30s and overnight lows close to 20 degrees. There could be another weather system late in the week trying to bring snow back to the area…we’ll cross that bridge as it approaches though. Stay tuned!

Another Big Storm Brewing…

egreenwlwt — Wed, 23 Dec 2009 04:15:42 +0000

The clouds have quickly filled back in after a few peeks of sun Tuesday afternoon, and we are watching an area of rain and a wintry mix across the southern half on Indiana as it drifts our way. It is being undercut by a dry east wind and the thinking is that a lot of this rain/mix will break up as it approaches Cincinnati…so other than a light shower or light wintry mix across Southeastern Indiana, it just looks cloudy overnight. As we head through Wednesday expect a full plate of cloud cover and possibly a few rain showers as a big storm system gathers strength in the Midwest. This big storm will move in on Thursday and really kick up the wind, but we are going to stay on the warm side of this one so any heavy precipitation is going to fall as rain and not snow. Any Christmas eve/Christmas day travel plans that involve the Midwest though will surely be interrupted by heavy snow and ice, and there will be a lot of airport delays and cancellations in the area too. Heavy rain and strong winds could swing through the Tri-state Thursday night, so Santa will need a windshield and raincoat, and rain will probably continue into Friday morning. The latest computer model information then suggests that we will pull in some dry air Friday before a cold front swing through during the afternoon rapidly dropping temperatures which could lead to a wintry mix and/or some snow late in the day. The weekend looks cold and a bit snowy, high temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will struggle to hit 30 degrees, so even though the snow is expected to be light, it should stick and possibly add up to about an inch of accumulation. Light snow could continue into Monday before skies dry up and warm up a little too for Tuesday and Wednesday. Stay tuned!

I Hope You Like Clouds…

egreenwlwt — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 21:49:56 +0000

It is officially winter now in case you missed it, the winter solstice occurred at 12:47 pm this afternoon – and how typical a winter day is this with the classic low clouds just locked in overhead. It is weather like this that leads to seasonal adjusted disorder…when people get depressed because the sun never shines. I hate to say it, but learn to love the clouds because we don’t expect any sunshine until late in the week when a powerful storm system is going to develop and stir up the skies enough to provide a few sunny peeks between the rain and snow showers…not really what we are hoping for though I’m sure. One thing we will have to watch for is the possibility of a light wintry mix or freezing drizzle up around the I-70 corridor tonight and tomorrow as a weak impulse scoots through the atmosphere, that’s really just nuisance weather more than anything else because even if it does develop it will probably stay very light. For the most part it just looks cloudy and quiet until late on Wednesday when that big storm system will start to approach, and in the temperature department we have a little good news in that there should be a gentle trend upward. We’ll mention a small chance for rain Wednesday, and a better chance Thursday, but the brunt of this system looks like it will be seen off to our northwest now with heavy snow and freezing rain a definite possibility back towards St. Louis and up around Chicago. Heavy rains could affect the Tri-state late Thursday and into Christmas morning, and then a real strong cold front swings through with little moisture left to work with – so at this point any snow should stay light keeping our chance for a white Christmas in the slim to none category. A fresh blast of cold Canadian air will be felt on Saturday and Sunday with flurries and light snow showers, but anything more than a ground coating looks unlikely though. The early call on next week is a little more interesting, by Tuesday and Wednesday we may be tracking a storm system moving in from the west with the potential for accumulating snow – however that far out I wouldn’t get those hopes up too high snow lovers. We’ll keep you posted, stay tuned!

Winter Begins…With a Fresh Round Of Snow!

egreenwlwt — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 00:00:31 +0000

Those cloudy skies are already spitting out a few snowflakes this evening, and snow is going to pick up overnight with an Alberta clipper moving through. This clipper could be good for up to an inch of snow accumulation just in time for Monday morning’s commute, so you may want to plan ahead to allow a little extra time to get to work. Appropriate for the first day of winter – right? Winter officially begins on Monday at 12:47pm. Temperatures will barely dip into the 20s overnight, so the roads should still be wet and slushy, but not quite as wet and easy to drive on as they were with Saturday’s snowfall. Snow will wind down Monday morning, and we expect afternoon temperatures to climb into the upper 30s, so it will probably all melt away again. Tuesday and Wednesday will just be cloudy days for the most part as another big storm system develops off to our southwest. The latest long-range computer model information is trending warmer for the Ohio Valley, so at this point we’ll say there is only a slight chance for a wintry mix to develop in the region as this storm gets going late Wednesday and Thursday morning, and most of this system is going to fall as a big surge of rain during the day on Thursday. The cold front swings through on Friday Christmas morning, and Christmas looks like a light rain to light snow day with falling temperatures and a whole lot of wind too. On/off snow showers, cold temperatures and wind chills will probably be the story for Saturday and Sunday with little or no accumulation resulting from that wrap-around snow. The very early call on next week will be for a dry start along with a warming trend. Stay tuned!

We Made It…But More Snow Is On The Way.

egreenwlwt — Sat, 19 Dec 2009 21:16:59 +0000

We are now advisory, watch and warning free here in the Tri-State, but light snow will continue into the over night and we are not free of any weather-related hazards just yet. Any additional snow accumulation will be light and hardly measurable, but the snowmelt during the day has resulted in low clouds and we could have thick fog overnight along with slick spots on the roads due to temperatures dropping into the 20s…so be careful out there. Sunday will bring a brief break in the action before an Alberta Clipper-type system rolls in Sunday night packing another round of snow for the Tri-State. This could be another one of those bad-timing light weather events with an inch of snow possibly falling right before the Monday morning commute into work, and this quick-mover will probably depart Monday afternoon. We will have a chance to breathe easy Tuesday and Wednesday with generally cloudy skies and temperatures stuck in the 30s, and then another big storm system is forecast to develop over the Southern US and move into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday night. This storm could bring a little bit of everything with a wintry mix possibly changing over to rain through Thursday, and then rain and a mix back over to snow as we head through Christmas Day Friday. Specific details such as timing and precipitation type will be tough to pin down until a day or two before it arrives so we won’t exhaust ourselves trying to do that right now, but just know there could be a big one coming that could affect travel plans in the region. On the back side of this storm light snow could persist for a couple days as we head into next weekend with another monster shot of cold air looking to move into the Ohio Valley for the last week of 2009. That could result in the coldest temperatures we have seen so far this winter season…brrrrrr. Stay tuned!

Let It Snow!!!

egreenwlwt — Sat, 19 Dec 2009 00:25:50 +0000

Well here it comes friends, the first big winter storm of the season moves in tonight. This storm will get started as rain, with the changeover to snow not happening until about midnight or so for most of us, and then it’s all snow until it winds down late Saturday night and into Sunday morning. With overnight lows only down to 30 tonight and temperatures steady in the lower 30s through the day on Saturday the snow should stay fairly wet and slushy – perfect for making a snowman or a snowball fight! By the time snow winds down late Saturday night temperatures will dip into the mid 20s, and this is when we expect roads to get slick, especially those that do not get treated. As far as snowfall totals, through the Cincinnati metro, it will probably be a 2-4 inch snowfall with lesser amounts across eastern Indiana where it may only end up being an inch of snow, and there will be much higher snowfall totals south and east where 6+ inches could be seen as close as places like Maysville Kentucky. Sunday looks snow free, but another clipper could scoot through on Monday squeezing out light snow showers and flurries, but we do not expect any accumulation out of it at this point. Clouds will build again on Tuesday as another big storm develops off to our southwest. That storm rolls in on Wednesday and will probably wash away the snow we pick up this weekend – so there goes the hope for a white Christmas…or maybe not. As this big storm wraps up and stalls out over the Great Lakes, it will pull down the cold air out of Canada and we could see a changeover back to snow on Christmas Eve Thursday with light snow continuing through Christmas Day Friday. Now technically we need an inch of snow on the ground to qualify for a white Christmas, and that may be a stretch out of the wrap-around snow we expect late next week and into next weekend…but we will keep our fingers crossed and keep you posted. Stay tuned!